In first campaign event for re-election, Trump revisits 2016 themes

Donald Trump made a careful calculation in choosing Florida to launch his campaign for re-election.

On Tuesday (18), in Orlando, the president of the United States reinforced ties with his electoral base to ensure that his speech once again motivate voters who voted for him in the 2016 race.

Four years after he had come down the escalators of the Trump Tower in New York to announce he would run for the White House, the Republican showed that the Oval Office did not make him a more moderate leader. 

n his nearly one-and-a-half hour speech, the president revisited themes of the 2016 campaign, such as illegal immigration and fake news, as well as repeatedly citing his opponent in that lawsuit, Democrat Hillary Clinton.

After a performance by his wife, Melania, he took the stage at the Amway Center and then criticized the American press. "This is a big arena. I kept thinking that if we had three or four vacant seats, the fake news media would have headlines saying we could not fill this place up."

Trump recalled his trajectory to the presidency in the 2016 elections and called his campaign a "great political movement" made up of patriots who believe that "a nation must take care of its citizens first" in reference to illegal immigration. 

The president also cited the good results of the economy - which today registers growth above 3% and historically low unemployment. "Our economy is the envy of the world. It may be the best economy we have had in the history of our country," he said.

Trump does not lead the polls, and his disapproval has been growing in key states where he won in 2016, including Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

The Republican has again criticized the Democrats' reaction to the report by Special Prosecutor Robert Mueller, who is responsible for investigating Russia's alleged interference in the 2016 lawsuit.

He called the inquiry "an illegal attempt to nullify the election results, spy on our campaign, which is what they [democrats] did and subvert our democracy." 

The Democrat opposition is currently divided over the possibility of opening a process of impeachment.

Pre-candidates on the left defend the idea, such as Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, and Elizabeth Warren, but House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other Democratic leaders have been cautious. 

Based on Mueller's research, impeachment, he estimates, could bring unnecessary electoral wear to the opposition.

In his style, Trump showed that he already has the medical record on the subject: when the Democrats attack him, they are attacking his voter, according to him.

The current president has labeled opponents party politicians as radical socialists - due to the rising progressive wing in the legend. "A vote for any Democrat in 2020 is a vote for the growth of radical socialism and for the destruction of the American dream," he said.

At the rally this Tuesday, the incumbent introduced himself as the same outsider from four years ago. "Together we saw a failed political establishment and we restored a government made by the people, for the people," he said.

By October 2020, the president must replicate the campaign model that won the last three presidential elections: focus on winning non-traditional voters, ie those who would not vote to vote on election day, since voting is not mandatory .

In the case of former President Barack Obama, in 2006 and 2010, for example, this niche was made up of blacks and young people.

The other way to try to get to the White House is the oldest method, which is being applied today by former Vice President Joe Biden.

The Democrat favorite understood that concessions must be made to win the primaries - they are 24 names in the race to be the opposition's representative in 2020 - and after that, to adopt moderation to broaden the electorate in the general election. 

Usually centrist, Biden has made lefts to the left in the attempt to consolidate as the democrat name against Trump.

Both should focus their campaigns on the so-called pendulum states, with no Democratic or Republican tradition. Analysts say that if Trump wants to re-elect, it will be necessary to make nods beyond the groups that already support him.

His speech on Tuesday, however, shows that strengthening with its electoral base will dictate the path until October 2020.